Saturday, January 22, 2011

On Some Fatal Fallacies

1. Cereal  Consumption  Includes  Both Food  and  Feed  and  Should  Rise,  Not  Fall  as  Average  Income  Rises : Many Economist believe that cereal consumption is inversely related with income. 'coz consumer diversify away from cereals to animal products. cereal consumption demand includes feed grains embodied in animal products . Therefore per head cereal consumption should increase with increasing income . US had per head cereal consumption of nearly 1 tonne in 2005

2. What  Explains  Falling  Cereal  Demand  Per  Head  in  India  When  Average Income  Is  Rising  Fast? : decline is serious matter to worry. imply that cereal consumption is falling involuntarily for the poor.growth is so highly concentrated that is resulting in shift of income distribution of a particularly adverse type, namely, minority enrichment and mass demand deflation

3. Substantial  Decline  in  Real  Spending  in  Rural  India: deflating nominal spending by consumer price indices to obtain “real spending” is no longer capturing the actual situation . all elements of the original basket may not even be available in the later year, Over long periods of time the fixed basket to which price indices are applied has led to misleading results.

Source : EPW Nov 20 ,2010

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